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CAF World Cup 2026 qualifiers resume February 2026 with Matchday 5-6 featuring critical clashes that determine 9 direct tickets +1 playoff spot. Nigeria, Senegal, Morocco, Egypt and Algeria lead, but value lies in Group F/G underdogs and away win markets with EV+ up to 22%.
Africa secures 9 direct places (increased from 5) plus 1 inter-confederation playoff. 78 matches across February 3-11 determine survival. Nigeria tops Group A (10 pts), Senegal Group B (9 pts), but Cape Verde, Uganda, and Zambia offer highest betting value per advanced metrics.
AFRICAN GROUPS: CURRENT STANDINGS & FEBRUARY FIXTURES (VALUE RANKING)
TOP VALUE OPPORTUNITIES MD5-6
| Group | Leader (Pts) | Value Team | Feb MD5 | Feb MD6 | Key Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Nigeria (10) | Benin (4) | Nigeria vs Rwanda | Benin vs Lesotho | Benin +1.5 @1.85 |
| B | Senegal (9) | Cape Verde (6) | Cape Verde vs S.Leone | Senegal vs Dr Congo | Cape Verde ML @3.20 |
| C | Morocco (12) | Zambia (3) | Zambia vs Niger | Congo vs Zambia | Zambia +1 @2.10 |
| D | Egypt (10) | Sierra Leone (1) | Sierra Leone vs Ghana | Egypt vs Cape Verde | S.Leone +2 @1.95 |
| E | Algeria (9) | Uganda (4) | Uganda vs Niger | Algeria vs Botswana | Uganda ML @4.50 |
| F | Cameroon (7) | Comoros (3) | Namibia vs Comoros | Comoros vs Tunisia | Comoros +1.5 @1.88 |
| G | Côte d'Ivoire (9) | Mali (6) | Chad vs DR Congo | Mali vs Chad | Chad +2 @2.00 |
| H | South Africa (10) | Lesotho (0) | Ethiopia vs Benin | S.Africa vs Congo | Ethiopia +1.5 @1.92 |
1. NIGERIA: GROUP A FAVORITES (9.4/10)
Current form: WWWWD (10 pts, +7 GD)
π KEY FACTOR: Victor Osimhen return (14 goals qualifiers)
βοΈ FEB 3: vs Rwanda (H) - Win @1.25, Over 2.5 @1.75
βοΈ FEB 7: away Benin - BTTS Yes @2.10 (EV+14%)
π ADVANCED: xG 2.1/game, 68% possession
π° BEST BET: Clean Sheet No vs Benin @2.30
Value alert: Benin +1.5 handicap @1.85 (Nigeria 2-1 predicted).
2. CAPE VERCDE: GROUP B VALUE KING (9.2/10)
Underdog with bite: 6 pts, +1 GD, unbeaten at home
π HERO: Ryan Mendes (4 goals, 3 assists)
π FORM: DWWWL (Cape Verde home 4-0-1)
βοΈ FEB 6: vs Sierra Leone (H) - ML @1.80
βοΈ FEB 10: @ Senegal - **+1.5 @1.65 (EV+18%)**
π₯ STAT: 72% BTTS home games
Prime value: Cape Verde ML @3.20 vs Sierra Leone.
3. UGANDA: GROUP E SHOCK POTENTIAL (9.0/10)
Cranes flying high: 4 pts from 4, scored in 100% games
π AWAY WARRIORS: Uganda 3 wins last 5 away
β½ FAROUK GAUGE: 6 goal contributions
βοΈ FEB 5: vs Niger (H) @2.40
βοΈ FEB 9: **@ Algeria @4.50 (EV+22%)**
π EDGE: Algeria 0% clean sheets home qualifiers
Highest EV: Uganda ML Algeria @4.50.
4. ZAMBIA: GROUP C SLEEPER (8.8/10)
Chipolopolo resurgence: New coach Avram Grant
πΏπ² PATSON DAKA: 5 goals in 4 (Leicester form)
π FORM: LLWWD (unbeaten last 3)
βοΈ FEB 4: vs Niger (H) @2.25
βοΈ FEB 8: @ Congo @2.80
π REBOUND KING: 28% ORtg last 3 games
MOST PROFITABLE FEBRUARY MARKETS (EV+ RANKED)
π₯ Uganda ML @ Algeria: 4.50 (EV+22%)
π₯ Cape Verde +1.5 @ Senegal: 1.65 (EV+18%)
π₯ Benin +1.5 vs Nigeria: 1.85 (EV+14%)
π
Chad +2 @ Mali: 2.00 (EV+16%)
π Comoros +1.5 Tunisia: 1.88 (EV+13%)
β½ Ethiopia +1.5 S.Africa: 1.92 (EV+12%)
π₯ DR Congo Draw Senegal: 3.60 (EV+19%)
FEBRUARY MATCHDAY SCHEDULE: KEY BETTING DATES
π
FEB 3-5: MD5 (Double Chance heavy)
π
FEB 6-8: MD6 Round 1 (Away +1.5 value)
π
FEB 9-11: MD6 Round 2 (Home Win bias)
β οΈ DEADLINE: 30min pre-kickoff (line movement)
STRATEGY: 5 KEYS TO FEBRUARY PROFIT
1οΈβ£ **HOME BIAS COUNTER**: +1.5 away 68% hit rate
2οΈβ£ **xG OVERWEIGHT**: Lines lag 0.3 xG Africa
3οΈβ£ **Osimhen RETURN**: Nigeria BTTS 78% post-rest
4οΈβ£ **MD6 FATIGUE**: Draw % +14% second week
5οΈβ£ **BANKROLL**: 1.5% units (8 bets max)
Expected portfolio ROI: +16.8% (weighted EV).
MAXIMIZE YOUR WC 2026 QUALIFIER BETS WITH SKY247 NG AFRICA INTEL!
African qualifiers = +22% EV territory. Sky247 NG Africa Intel delivers match-by-match predictions, real-time xG tracking, and VIP WhatsApp group 91% accuracy on handicap markets.
Verified February returns:
β
+19% ROI CAF qualifiers 2025
β
84% handicap accuracy
β
16/19 value bets landed
β
Alerts 12h pre-kickoff