Alaves vs Atletico Madrid – La Liga Prediction, Transfers & Betting Tips (30 August 2025)

🏟️ La Liga 2025/26 – Matchday 3: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

The Estadio de Mendizorroza will be the stage for a gritty La Liga battle on Saturday, August 30, 2025, as Deportivo Alaves take on Atletico Madrid. With Alaves looking to bounce back from a narrow defeat and Atletico eager to recover from a shock loss to Espanyol, this matchup could be a turning point for both sides.

📅 Kickoff: 11:00 BST
📍 Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
🌡️ Weather Forecast: 26°C, sunny

🔁 Latest Transfers & Squad Notes (Updated August 2025)

Alaves – Summer Moves:

• 🧱 Jeremy Toljan (Sassuolo): Adds pace and experience to the backline
• 🧠 Joni Montiel (Rayo Vallecano): Creative midfield option
• 🧤 Antonio Sivera remains first-choice goalkeeper
• ❌ Lost 1–0 to Real Betis in last match; struggling to convert chances

Atletico Madrid – Summer Signings:

• 🔥 Julian Alvarez (Manchester City): Scored in last match vs Espanyol
• 🧠 Conor Gallagher (Chelsea): Adds energy and verticality to midfield
• 🧱 David Hancko (Feyenoord): Strengthens defensive depth
• 🧤 Juan Musso (Atalanta): Competing with Oblak for starting spot
• ❌ Lost 2–1 to Espanyol; defensive lapses evident

📊 Head-to-Head & Form Guide

• Atletico Madrid’s Win Probability: 51.2%
• Alaves’ Win Probability: 23.1%
• Draw Probability: 25.7%
• Alaves’ Form: 1 win, 1 loss
• Atletico’s Form: 0 points, 15th place

Tactical Preview

Alaves (4-2-3-1)

• Manager: Eduardo Coudet
• Key Players: Montiel, Guridi, Sivera
• Style: Deep block, compact midfield, set-piece reliance

Atletico Madrid (3-5-2)

• Manager: Diego Simeone
• Key Players: Alvarez, Griezmann, Gallagher
• Style: High press, vertical transitions, aggressive duels

📈 Match Prediction & Betting Tips

Prediction: Alaves 0–2 Atletico Madrid
Atletico’s attacking upgrades and historical dominance suggest a controlled away win, though Alaves’ defensive shape could frustrate early momentum.

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