Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid – Prediction & Betting Tips (27/09/2025)

On Saturday, 27 September 2025, Atlético Madrid host Real Madrid at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in one of the standout fixtures of La Liga’s early rounds. With both teams eyeing strong league starts, this derby is crucial for momentum and bragging rights.

Current Form & Context

• Real Madrid have made a flying start in La Liga, maintaining a perfect run so far, with their latest result being a dominant 4-1 away win over Levante, featuring standout performances from Vinícius Jr and Kylian Mbappé.

• Atlético Madrid are doing well defensively, boasting one of the best defensive records in La Liga early in the season, but their attacking output has been more modest compared to Real. They’ve had some draws and will need sharper finishing to match Real’s firepower.

Team News & Injuries

• Atletico Madrid have seen some key players return to training; for example, Álex Baena is available after recovering from an appendicitis. Other players like Almada, Johnny Cardoso remain unavailable or doubtful.

• Real Madrid may be hampered by injury concerns: players such as Trent Alexander-Arnold (hamstring), Ferland Mendy (muscle injury), Jude Bellingham (shoulder) are reported with fitness issues.

Tactical Insights

• Atlético will likely rely on their defensive discipline and structured back-line. Diego Simeone’s side is expected to stay compact and look for counter-attack chances, especially given Real Madrid’s attacking strength.

• Real Madrid under Xabi Alonso are in confident form, with strong attacking threats from wide players and the front line. Their ability to convert final third chances could decide the match. The injuries in defense could make them a little less solid at the back, offering Atlético small windows to exploit.

Prediction & Value Bets

• Main Prediction: Real Madrid to win (narrow margin)

• Alternative / Value Picks:

  • Both Teams to Score (Yes)

  • Over 2.5 goals

  • Real Madrid −0.25 Asian Handicap

Real Madrid appear to have the edge given their scoring form and Atlético’s relative offensive limitations, but underestimating Atlético’s home resolve would be a mistake.

To find the best odds and betting markets for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid, check out Sky247 NG — maximize your value on La Liga’s biggest derbies.