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On Tuesday, 30 September 2025, Real Madrid travel to Kazakhstan to take on Kairat Almaty at the Ortalyq Stadion in one of the group stage matches of the UEFA Champions League. This will be a stiff test for both sides, especially considering travel, squad depth, and form.
Current Form & Context
Kairat are newcomers to the Champions League group stage this season, and for them, this match represents one of the toughest fixtures, especially against an elite club like Real Madrid.
Real Madrid are in good momentum domestically and will be looking to make a statement away from home. However, long-distance travel (to Almaty) and the schedule could pose physical challenges.
Team News & Injuries
Kairat have announced their full roster for the Champions League ties (midfielders like Adilet Sadybekov, Olzhas Baibek, and foreign signings like Giorgi Zaria, Dan Glazer, and Valeri Gromyko) showing they have some depth.
Real Madrid have some injuries and squad concerns: Trent Alexander-Arnold is out (muscle/hamstring) for several weeks which weakens their right flank, and Carvajal is suspended for this match.
Another blow: Antonio Rüdiger is injured and expected to be out for 10-12 weeks.
Tactical Considerations
Madrid will likely dominate possession and try to exploit their superior quality in attack; players like Mbappé, Vinícius Jr, or whoever is leading the forward line will be central to breaking down Kairat’s defense.
Kairat will probably play compact, try to frustrate Real Madrid, maybe draw them out and exploit counterattacks or set-pieces. Home crowd energy and unfamiliar conditions could help them.
With Real Madrid missing key defenders and wing options, there may be vulnerabilities especially on the flanks that Kairat could try to exploit.
Prediction & Value Bets
Main Prediction: Real Madrid to win (narrow margin)
Alternate / Value Picks:
Over 2.5 goals
Both Teams to Score (Yes)
Real Madrid −1 handicap
Given Madrid’s attacking strength and Kairat’s relative inexperience at this level, Real are favourites, but expect Kairat to put up resistance, especially early.
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