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Current Form & Context
Newcastle United have had a mixed start to the 2025/26 season. They sit around mid-table with about 6 points from their opening Premier League matches. At home, St. James’ Park hasn’t been entirely convincing — only one win and a few defeats so far.
Nottingham Forest, under Ange Postecoglou, are struggling to find consistency. Their away form is particularly poor: few wins, multiple losses and draws, and defensive lapses.
Injuries are also a factor: Newcastle’s back-line could be weakened further as Tino Livramento is sidelined for 6-8 weeks.
Head-to-Head & Key Stats
Newcastle have dominated recent meetings. In the last 5 matches vs Forest, Newcastle have won 4, lost 1.
Nottingham Forest have conceded at least one goal in many of their recent away league matches.
Over / under goals landscape: there’s good evidence that both teams scoring (BTTS) is likely, given Forest’s defence and Newcastle’s attacking chances.
Prediction & Value Picks
Main Prediction: Newcastle to win
Alternative / Value Picks:
Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes)
Over 2.5 goals
Newcastle −0.5 Asian Handicap
Newcastle’s home advantage and recent dominance over Forest make them slight favorites. Expect Forest to provide resistance and likely grab a goal, but Newcastle should prevail.
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