Who Might Win FIFA World Cup 2026?

With the countdown well underway to FIFA World Cup 2026, co‑hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico, the global football world is buzzing. Set to take place from June 11 to July 19, 2026, this expanded 48‑team tournament promises drama, surprise, and renewed rivalries across three North American nations. So who are the early favorites—and which underdogs could steal the show?

Top Favorites to Win

France

Tied for shortest odds among early predictions, France remains a powerhouse thanks to a deep squad anchored by Kylian Mbappé, backed up by emerging stars like Camavinga and Tchouaméni. Their track record in recent tournaments—World Cup winners in 2018, runners‑up in 2022—cements their pedigree.

Spain

Fresh off their Euro 2024 triumph, Spain enters 2026 with momentum and talent. Young midfield maestros Pedri and Gavi, along with breakout winger Lamine Yamal, have elevated La Roja back into elite contention, with top‑tier betting odds (+550 to +650).

Brazil

The most decorated side in World Cup history—Brazil continues to feature high in odds tables (+600 to +650). Their exciting attacking lineup includes Vinícius Jr., Rodrygo, and rising star Endrick, though inconsistency remains a concern.

England

With a talented roster anchored by Harry Kane, Bellingham, and Saka, and under new leadership of Thomas Tuchel as manager, England are seen as serious contenders (+700 odds). The blend of tactical flexibility and generational talent boosts their chances.

Argentina

As the reigning champions from 2022 and recent Copa América winners, Argentina’s squad led by Scaloni is experienced and dynamic. While Messi's role is uncertain as he edges toward retirement, new stars like Álvarez and Enzo Fernández provide fresh energy.

Dark Horses & Surprise Packages

• USA, Canada, and Mexico: Co‑hosts with automatic qualification; U.S. benefits from a passionate home crowd and emerging young talents (Pulisic, Reyna, Musah) under coach Pochettino.

• Germany: In a rebuild under Julian Nagelsmann, Germany boasts rising stars like Musiala and Wirtz and remains a dangerous contender (+900 odds).

• Portugal, Netherlands, Belgium and Uruguay: These teams have odds ranging from +1200 to +3300. With a mix of veterans (Portugal) and rising talent (Netherlands, Belgium), each can surprise if form coalesces at the right time.

• Morocco, Senegal, Japan: Recent strong showings (e.g. Morocco’s 2022 semifinal run), combined with expanded Group Stage access, make these African and Asian nations true dark‑horse threats.

Key Factors That Will Decide the Winner

1. Squad Depth: With 48 teams and expanded knockout rounds, endurance and a strong bench will be essential. Teams like France and Spain excel here.

2. Tactical Flexibility: Adaptable teams (France, England under Tuchel) can shift approaches mid‑tournament to counter different opponents.

3. Form & Fitness: Avoiding injuries to key players (Messi, Mbappé, Kane) could make or break campaigns.

4. Home Advantage: Host nations historically perform above expectations—think South Korea (2002) or Russia (2018). The USA–Canada–Mexico trio could ride that boost deep into the knockout rounds.

Who Has the Edge?

Betting odds and expert consensus place France and Spain as current frontrunners, each with implied win probabilities around 14‑16% (+550 to +650). Brazil sits tight behind, while England and Argentina remain strong contenders. However, with the tournament’s expanded format and unpredictability, watch for USA, Germany, and Africa/Asia nations to punch above their weight.

Final Whistle: Who Will Lift the Trophy?

• Most likely winners: France or Spain, closely followed by Brazil.

• Contenders with high upside: England, Argentina, Germany.

• Potential dark horses: USA, Morocco, Senegal, Japan.

Millions of qualifiers, friendlies, and player development still lie ahead. But with North America hosting for the first time across three nations, the stage is set for one of the most global, unpredictable, and exciting World Cups ever.

Ready to Follow Every Goal, Every Upset?

To stay ahead of the action and catch every twist—from prediction updates to live scores—visit Sky247 Nigeria now:

👉 Explore Sky247 Nigeria’s homepage