AC Milan vs. Inter Milan: Coppa Italia Match Preview, Odds & Predictions

Local rivals AC Milan and Inter Milan will meet for the fourth time this season in Wednesday's first leg of their Coppa Italia semi-final match. The winner of a unique two-legged Derby della Madonnina will advance to the final in Rome; Bologna and Empoli will also compete.

Previous Matches and Head-to-head

Milan has dropped significantly in the Serie A rankings since their thrilling 2-1 league triumph in September when Matteo Gabbia's late goal stopped Inter's lengthy losing run.

Even though he replaced Paulo Fonseca, a fellow Portuguese man, ex-Inter player Sergio Conceicao has failed to repair the Rossoneri's 20-point deficit with eight games remaining in Italy's top division.

Even though his new club ended Inter's hopes of a quadruple in January by overcoming a two-goal deficit to win the Supercoppa Italiana final, they have since lost in the Champions League to an injury-plagued Feyenoord and are now in ninth place in the league.

Despite all the drama, Milan has just 47 points. If they want to finish in the top four, they'll have to beat teams like Juventus, Lazio, Bologna, Roma, and Fiorentina.

They have nine points to make up following Sunday's 2-1 defeat to Scudetto contenders Napoli. They fell down 2-0 after 19 minutes, and Santiago Gimenez, who struggled to find the back of the net, missed a penalty. There are whispers that Conceicao will not be retained.

Nevertheless, he may alter that narrative if he wins another cup tournament and defeats the Rossoneri's long-time opponents.

In February's Coppa Italia quarterfinals, Milan defeated Roma thanks to two goals from Tammy Abraham, who plays for his parent club. This came just days after they narrowly missed defeating Inter for the third time this season, having held a lead created by Tijjani Reijnders until the end, when Stefan de Vrij scored a last-gasp equalizer.

Due to their European commitments, the Lombardy giants—whose last Coppa victory in almost half a century came 22 years ago—entered this year's tournament at the last-16 stage. Their campaign began in December with a 6-1 thrashing of nightmare club Sassuolo.

With the Supercoppa already in the bag, Milan will want to improve their dismal record in Italy's national cup by winning the trophy in Rome after a two-legged match against Inter at San Siro.

Of course, their opponents on the other side of the second city will be adamant about reclaiming derby supremacy and continuing their historic treble run.

Milan have won two derbies this season, snapping Inter's six-game winning streak that began in January 2023 and ended in April 2024; in their most recent encounter, only a last-second goal by De Vrij saved a draw.

After advancing over Udinese in the round of 16, the Nerazzurri advanced past Lazio, the team Simone Inzaghi once played for, to set up this dramatic semi-final.

While his team is on track to win the Coppa for the tenth time in May—a month in which they have a chance to win three major trophies—backup striker Marko Arnautovic scored for the second round in a row as the Biancocelesti were defeated 2-0 at San Siro.

As Inzaghi rotated his team in anticipation of a hectic schedule of fixtures, incumbent Serie A champions Roma strengthened their hold on the Scudetto with a 2-1 home win against mid-table Udinese. Arnautovic scored again for Roma.

Inter has a jam-packed schedule on three fronts: two Coppa semi-final meetings with Milan and a Champions League match against Bayern Munich. They also have eight league games left to play.

They enter their first encounter of April confident after a five-game winning streak across all competitions, but they also know that their Rossoneri opponents would do everything to stop them.

AC Milan x Inter Milan Team News

Since his arrival, Sergio Conceicao still hasn't decided on a preferred midfield combination, so he'll have to decide again between Santiago Gimenez and Tammy Abraham to spearhead Milan's assault. Rafael Leao's comeback to the starting lineup is still in the air.

With Alessandro Florenzi's return following a lengthy layoff, the Rossoneri coach essentially has a complete roster to choose from. But Emerson Royal is still out with an injury, while Ruben Loftus-Cheek had to have appendix surgery over the weekend.

U.S. international Yunus Musah, who served his Serie A ban on Sunday night, will be available to play midfield, while Malick Thiaw hopes to recover from an illness.

With Alessandro Bastoni's return from suspension, Inter will face a depleted roster due to the absence of Kristjan Asllani (suspended for the first leg), Denzel Dumfries, Piotr Zielinski, and Lautaro Martinez (all injured).

Simone Inzaghi has effectively benched the Nerazzurri captain for Wednesday's match, meaning he will not play. With a goal, he would become only the third Inter player to score ten goals against Milan in all competitions.

Since 'El Toro' has just recently returned to training following a hamstring injury in Argentina, one of Marko Arnautovic or Joaquin Correa might step in for Marcus Thuram in the starting lineup while Mehdi Taremi continues to battle with a groin issue.

Our predictions

Inter Milan to win @ 2.20 on Sky247.ng

The league standings show how far apart these two Milan giants are, yet the Rossoneri have been on top in the derbies this season.

However, Inter is on fire and will likely win game four of the series since they are consistently winning games while their opponents are all over the place.

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