Manchester United vs Tottenham Prediction: Carrick's Perfect Run Meets Crisis-Hit Spurs at Old Trafford

Expert Man United vs Tottenham predictions for February 7, 2026. Carrick's perfect run, Spurs' 13-injury crisis, tactical analysis & betting tips Old Trafford.

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Match Details:

  • Competition: Premier League (Matchday 24)
  • Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026
  • Kick-off: 12:30 GMT (7:30 AM ET / 13:30 CET)
  • Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester, England
  • TV Coverage: TNT Sports (UK) / USA Network, Peacock (USA)

Current Form Analysis

Manchester United: The Carrick Era - Three Wins from Three

Manchester United currently sit in 4th position with 41 points from 24 matches (11 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses), riding an unprecedented wave of momentum under interim head coach Michael Carrick. The legendary midfielder has achieved the unthinkable - making United look like genuine Champions League contenders again after their disastrous start under Ruben Amorim.

Current Premier League Standing:

  • Position: 4th place
  • Points: 41 from 24 matches
  • Record: 11-8-5
  • Goals Scored: 44
  • Goals Conceded: 36
  • Goal Difference: +8

Recent Premier League Results:

  • February 1: Manchester United 3-2 Fulham - DRAMATIC stoppage-time winner
  • January 25: Arsenal 3-2 Manchester United - Historic away victory
  • January 17: Manchester United 2-0 Manchester City - Derby domination on Carrick's debut

The Carrick Revolution - Three from Three:

Michael Carrick has become just the third manager in Manchester United history to win all three of his first Premier League matches in charge, emulating Jose Mourinho and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer. His start has been nothing short of extraordinary.

Match 1 - Manchester City 0-2 (January 17):

  • Dream debut for Carrick
  • Goals from Bryan Mbeumo (61') and Patrick Dorgu (76')
  • Tactical masterclass nullified Guardiola's champions
  • Three United goals disallowed for marginal offside
  • First win over City at Old Trafford since January 2023

Match 2 - Arsenal 2-3 (January 25):

  • United's 100th win over Arsenal
  • First away league victory at Emirates since December 2017
  • First team to inflict home defeat on Arsenal this season
  • Goals from Mbeumo, Dorgu (spectacular volley), Matheus Cunha (stunning distance strike)

Match 3 - Fulham 2-3 (February 1):

  • Most dramatic yet
  • Casemiro and Cunha put United 2-0 up
  • Fulham fought back to 2-2 through Jimenez penalty and Kevin wondergoal
  • Benjamin Sesko scored stoppage-time winner (90+4')
  • United moved back into top four

Tactical Transformation:

Carrick immediately abandoned Amorim's failed 3-4-3 system, reverting to traditional 4-2-3-1 that has unleashed United's attacking potential:

  • Defensive discipline restored
  • Attacking freedom given to forwards
  • Bruno Fernandes orchestrating from central position
  • Quick vertical transitions exploiting space
  • Set-piece effectiveness improved

Key Performers Under Carrick:

  • Bryan Mbeumo - 9 league goals, scored in all three Carrick matches
  • Benjamin Sesko - 4 goals in last 4 games (since Carrick arrival)
  • Matheus Cunha - 6 league goals, scoring in both Arsenal and Fulham matches
  • Bruno Fernandes - 5 league goals plus assists, orchestrating brilliantly
  • Casemiro - Rejuvenated performances after announcing end-of-season departure

Critical Injury Blow - Patrick Dorgu:

The devastating news emerged that Patrick Dorgu, who scored spectacular goals against both City and Arsenal, has suffered a serious hamstring injury that will sideline him for a "period of time." Initial hopes it was cramp were dashed, with the injury described as "looking on the serious note."

Carrick's comments: "Pat, unfortunately, he's going to be out for a period of time. We're still working through how long that's going to be. At the moment it looks a little bit more on the serious note."

This represents Carrick's first major setback, losing his most in-form winger precisely when momentum must be maintained.

Additional Injuries:

  • Mason Mount (training knock - minor, expected back for Tottenham)
  • Matthijs de Ligt (back injury - targeting return "next couple of weeks")
  • Joshua Zirkzee (knock - returned to training, could feature from bench)

Tottenham: Crisis Club Battling Relegation and Manager Pressure

Tottenham currently languish in 14th position with 28 points from 23 matches (7 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses), just 8 points above the relegation zone in their worst domestic campaign in years. Manager Thomas Frank is under immense pressure despite qualifying for the Champions League Round of 16.

Current Premier League Standing:

  • Position: 14th place
  • Points: 28 from 23 matches
  • Record: 7-7-9
  • Goals Scored: 35
  • Goals Conceded: 33
  • Goal Difference: +2

Recent Premier League Results:

  • February 1: Tottenham 2-2 Manchester City - Solanke brace salvages draw
  • January 25: Burnley 2-2 Tottenham - Another frustrating draw
  • January 18: Tottenham 2-1 West Ham - Fans chanted "getting sacked in the morning"
  • January 10: Tottenham 0-1 Liverpool - Home defeat extends poor run

The Frank Crisis:

Thomas Frank arrived in summer 2025 following Ange Postecoglou's departure after the Europa League triumph. His seven-month tenure has been disastrous domestically:

  • Just 2 wins in 14 Premier League matches
  • 8 points above relegation zone
  • Fans booing and chanting "getting sacked in the morning"
  • Home form catastrophic: just 2 wins at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium all season
  • Contrast with Champions League: Qualified for Round of 16, finishing 4th in league phase

Defensive Injury Catastrophe - 13 Players Missing:

Tottenham suffered from one of the worst injury crises in Premier League history heading into the City match, with 13 senior players unavailable:

  • James Maddison (ACL - long-term, season-ending)
  • Ben Davies (fractured ankle - out until April 2026)
  • Rodrigo Bentancur (hamstring surgery - out until April 2026)
  • Richarlison (hamstring - 7 weeks out, top scorer with 7 goals)
  • Mohammed Kudus (quad/tendon - extended recovery)
  • Pedro Porro (hamstring - out 4 weeks until late February)
  • Micky van de Ven (minor injury - doubtful but expected back for United)
  • Kevin Danso (toe ligament - snapped ligament in big toe vs Frankfurt)
  • Djed Spence (calf - ruled out)
  • Lucas Bergvall (injury - sidelined)
  • Mathys Tel (fitness concerns)
  • Cristian Romero (illness - forced off at half-time vs City, assessment ongoing)
  • Dominic Solanke (rolled ankle vs City - not fully fit, playing through pain)

Frank's assessment: "We are down to the bare bones... Imagine City playing without Haaland for six months."

January Transfers:

  • Conor Gallagher (signed from Chelsea - adding midfield depth)
  • Souza (signed - left-back depth)
  • Frank confirmed Spurs "active" on Deadline Day seeking more reinforcements

Positive Return - Dominic Solanke:

The England striker missed the entire first half of the season with ankle injury but has scored 4 goals in his last 4 games since returning. However, he's not fully fit - Frank admitted Solanke is at "70-80% fitness" and "struggled to run fitness-wise" against City.

Despite rolling his ankle again versus City, Solanke insists he'll be "fine" for the United match.

Key Performers:

  • Dominic Solanke - 9 goals (4 in last 4), crucial despite fitness issues
  • Conor Gallagher - New signing providing midfield energy
  • Guglielmo Vicario - Goalkeeper keeping Spurs competitive
  • Cristian Romero - Captain when fit, leadership crucial
  • Micky van de Ven - Best defender when available

Head-to-Head Record

The historical encounters provide fascinating context:

Overall Record (All Competitions):

  • Manchester United Wins: 96
  • Tottenham Wins: 58
  • Draws: 52

Most Recent Meeting (November 2025):

  • Tottenham 2-2 Manchester United - Dramatic draw at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Mbeumo opened scoring for United
  • Mathys Tel and Richarlison scored late for Spurs
  • Matthijs de Ligt's 96th-minute header salvaged point for United

Recent History:

  • United lost their previous four consecutive meetings in 2024-25 season
  • Last United victory: April 2023 (2-0 at Old Trafford)
  • Spurs dominated fixture under Postecoglou before Frank's arrival

Historical Note: This match is described as "one of English football's longest-running fixtures" since meetings began in 1899. United lead all-time record convincingly (96-58-52).

Tactical Analysis

Manchester United's Approach

Michael Carrick employs dynamic 4-2-3-1 emphasizing attacking freedom:

Expected Formation: 4-2-3-1

  • Senne Lammens in goal
  • Back four: Diogo Dalot, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martínez, Luke Shaw
  • Double pivot: Casemiro, Kobbie Mainoo
  • Attacking midfield: Amad Diallo, Bruno Fernandes (captain), Matheus Cunha/Benjamin Sesko (replacing injured Dorgu)
  • Striker: Bryan Mbeumo

Tactical Priorities:

  • High pressing winning ball in attacking third
  • Quick vertical transitions exploiting space
  • Bruno orchestrating from central position
  • Width from overlapping full-backs
  • Defensive organization maintaining clean sheet potential
  • Clinical finishing punishing defensive errors

Dorgu Replacement Dilemma: With Patrick Dorgu sidelined, Carrick faces tactical decisions:

  • Matheus Cunha likely starts after excellent performances from bench
  • Benjamin Sesko alternative option after stoppage-time heroics vs Fulham
  • Amad Diallo could shift left with Sesko/Cunha coming in

Tottenham's Strategy

Thomas Frank employs pragmatic approach given injury crisis:

Expected Formation: 4-2-3-1 or 3-5-2

  • Guglielmo Vicario in goal
  • Back four (if Van de Ven fit): Destiny Udogie, Micky van de Ven, Cristian Romero (if recovered from illness), Souza/Emerson Royal
  • Midfield: Conor Gallagher, Yves Bissouma
  • Attacking: Dejan Kulusevski, Brennan Johnson, Timo Werner/Son Heung-min
  • Striker: Dominic Solanke (if fit despite ankle roll)

Key Tactical Elements:

  • Compact defensive shape preventing space
  • Physical battles disrupting United's rhythm
  • Counter-attacking through Solanke's movement
  • Utilize width from wing-backs
  • Set-pieces as major weapon
  • Survival mentality given injury crisis

Frank must somehow organize makeshift lineup to frustrate United's momentum while missing 13 players.

Key Battles

Bryan Mbeumo vs Tottenham's Defense United's in-form striker (9 league goals, scored in all three Carrick matches) faces Spurs' depleted backline. Can Van de Ven and Romero (both fitness doubts) contain his movement?

Bruno Fernandes vs Conor Gallagher The creative maestro against his new signing. Gallagher's energy and pressing will test Fernandes' influence on the match.

Dominic Solanke vs United's Center-Backs Spurs' only fit striker (70-80% fitness) faces Maguire and Martínez. Can he replicate his 4-goal-in-4-games form despite physical limitations?

Old Trafford Atmosphere vs Spurs' Fragility Can the rejuvenated home crowd inspire United to four consecutive wins? Can Spurs handle hostile environment given their poor away record?

Statistical Insights

Manchester United:

  • 11 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses (41 points)
  • 44 goals scored, 36 conceded (+8 GD)
  • 3 consecutive wins under Carrick (100% record)
  • Beat both Manchester City and Arsenal in consecutive weeks
  • Benjamin Sesko: 4 goals in last 4 games

Tottenham:

  • 7 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses (28 points)
  • Just 2 wins in 14 Premier League matches
  • 8 points above relegation zone (14th position)
  • 13 senior players unavailable through injury
  • Dominic Solanke: 4 goals in last 4 despite fitness issues

Betting Predictions & Analysis

Based on comprehensive analysis:

Match Result Prediction: Manchester United Win (Comfortable)

Confidence Level: Very High (80%)

United's extraordinary momentum under Carrick, home advantage at rejuvenated Old Trafford, and Tottenham's catastrophic injury crisis (13 players out) suggest comfortable home victory.

Predicted Score: Manchester United 3-0 Tottenham

Alternative Betting Markets:

Manchester United to Win: Extremely Strong

  • Odds around -250/-280
  • Carrick's perfect record (3 from 3)
  • Tottenham's crisis evident (13 injuries)
  • Home advantage at Old Trafford

Over 2.5 Goals: YES (Moderate Confidence - 65%)

  • United averaging 3 goals under Carrick
  • Tottenham's defensive injuries
  • Open game expected

Both Teams to Score: NO (Moderate Confidence - 60%)

  • Spurs struggling for goals without Richarlison (7-week absence)
  • United's improved defensive organization
  • Solanke not fully fit (70-80%)

Bryan Mbeumo to Score: Excellent Value

  • Scored in all three Carrick matches
  • In sensational form (9 league goals)
  • Will receive quality service
  • Odds around -110/-120

Correct Score 3-0 Manchester United: Good Value

  • Reflects United's dominance and Spurs' crisis
  • Clean sheet achievable for United
  • Odds around +550/+600

Final Verdict

This Premier League encounter represents a meeting between contrasting narratives: Manchester United's Carrick-inspired renaissance versus Tottenham's injury-ravaged relegation battle. The gulf in form, fitness, and momentum could not be starker.

Manchester United hold overwhelming advantages: perfect three-match winning record under Carrick (beating City, Arsenal, Fulham), home advantage at a rejuvenated Old Trafford, and tactical clarity after months of Amorim confusion. The crowd will be expectant, demanding four consecutive wins to consolidate Champions League hopes.

Tottenham carry catastrophic burdens: 13 senior players unavailable through injury, manager under intense pressure (fans chanting "getting sacked in the morning"), just 2 wins in 14 Premier League matches, and defensive crisis forcing makeshift lineups. Even their key returning striker Solanke is only 70-80% fit.

The most probable scenario sees United's momentum continuing emphatically. Carrick has restored attacking confidence while maintaining defensive organization. Mbeumo will terrorize Spurs' depleted backline, Bruno Fernandes will orchestrate from midfield, and the defense will remain compact.

Tottenham will defend deeply, but their injury crisis is simply too severe. Missing Van de Ven, Romero (illness), Porro, Richarlison, Maddison, and eight others removes any tactical flexibility. Solanke playing on one leg cannot carry the attacking burden alone.

A comfortable 3-0 home victory feels appropriate - United dominate from start to finish, securing four consecutive wins under Carrick while Tottenham's nightmare season continues. The Carrick revolution marches on, transforming United from crisis club to Champions League contenders.

Our Prediction: Manchester United 3-0 Tottenham

Manchester United make it four consecutive victories under Michael Carrick with a commanding performance against crisis-hit Tottenham. Goals from Bryan Mbeumo (continuing his scoring streak), Matheus Cunha, and Benjamin Sesko deliver dominant victory, while Spurs' injury crisis proves insurmountable. The Theatre of Dreams witnesses another magical Carrick moment as United consolidate their Champions League qualification push.

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